there is no way in hell that diaz beats daley in a standup fight...period. Diaz has nothing even resembling boxing, muay thai or swinging monkey fists. Diaz is a big 170. He rarely is in a fight with anyone who can actually hurt him and takes way too many shots. He swings with his arms, has no stance and doesn't even guard. This is why pumped up 155'ers like noons can survive in there and why nick can't finish guys off.
I think if Nick fights a smart fight he wins convincingly. Does enough stand up to keep him honest, do a takedown and get him on the ground. If he tries to prove he can bang with a guy like daley who actually has power at 170 he is going to get killed.
Now don't get me wrong...in strikeforce that terrible crap diaz calls striking is effective on guys he is much bigger framed than. I just can't stop giggling when diaz fans talk about his "elite striking". Sorry I will shoot that shit down everytime someone says it. The dude has about as much stand up as jake shields...which is none. Standing around waiting for cyborg to gas and then swinging wildly with know step or turn in your punches IS NOT striking.