In that picture I would use my left hand on their elbow to push their forearms across my body and to my right. When I say push, I really mean an open hand punch. I wouldn't be apologetic about it either, he's upped the game into goon territory, so it's time to escalate it. I would smack the shit out of that elbow while at the same time trying to turn my hips, head and upper body to the right. The combination of the hit, and turning my neck will usually cause his forearm to roll and slide past me. No it still won't feel good, but that's just how grappling works.
Once I clear the arm I usually let go of the lockdown, clinch with the over under and try to take the back. There is an arm triangle there but mine is shitty from that position. Most skilled guys won't grind the cross face for too long because it gives up the back. The underhook and whizzer are way better methods of controlling the bottom opponent, so the fact that your opponent does this is a good sign.
Once I clear the arm I usually let go of the lockdown, clinch with the over under and try to take the back. There is an arm triangle there but mine is shitty from that position. Most skilled guys won't grind the cross face for too long because it gives up the back. The underhook and whizzer are way better methods of controlling the bottom opponent, so the fact that your opponent does this is a good sign.