I have a lot to add to this conversation as I researched this issue quite a bit recently. The first data point I would add is to also consider the dominance of some former champions. Some of these are kind of obvious. Randy Couture, Matt Hughes, and GSP. The first two had epic level wrestling from young ages. The last of which was a prodigy.
My kids are one of the main reasons I looked into this as they both claim they want to be MMA fighters when they grow up. My daughter in particular won't shut up about it. So we started with wrestling because Wrestling first of all is generally a lot cheaper to get involved in. There is usually one up-front fee to get your kids involved in wrestling every season and for that fee that get two sessions a week (on average) and can go to a tournament every single week during the season that stretches from December to March for Folkstyle, and April through June for Freestyle/Greco Roman. LOTS of mat time. Compare the say 100 bucks for six months of wrestling to the 100 bucks (or more) for BJJ PER MONTH in many instances and you get the point here.
Then comes quality and duration of training. BJJ and Judo classes usually go about 1 hour. (For kids, and you find that champions tended to start very young) Wrestling sessions can go as long as three. Ronda Rousey's mother has a great blog talking about how Judo players should train like Wrestlers because wrestling practices are VERY tough. When my daughter started wrestling last December she could barely do 20 sit ups. She wrestled from then until now and is still wrestling. During a break we decided to see how many sit ups she could do. She got to 130 and asked if she could stop because it was boring. Her conditioning is vastly improved.
Intensity is also a serious issue. My kids also do Judo and BJJ in a club that does both, though we stopped going for a while as the days for practice fell on the same days as Wrestling. So during a break in Wrestling my daughter went back to Judo and rolled with a girl who used to tap her out easily. When the two went at it after seven months or so of wrestling however my daughter dominated aggressively on the ground and then took her back and tapped her out easily. (Now, results will vary with this sort of thing obviously.) But the comparison in her ground game pre-wrestling to now was like night and day. The girl she tapped out regularly medals in Judo.
On the youth level, the intensity in training in most schools for kids doing BJJ and Judo falls far behind what kids do in wrestling so far as conditioning and aggressive pace. The core strength they develop is enormous. The amount of mat time they get is generally way higher. And they live in a no-gi environment.
Eddie talks about a lot of this in his book in the starting chapters. The stuff he says resonated with me right away as it fit with everything I had already observed. He discusses the impact the Gi has on training and why a lot of BJJ guys are not getting submissions like they used to.
Point of fact, there are now a lot of successful MMA fighters who beat BJJ black belts with only passable BJJ. Having a BJJ Black Belt is just not the "I-win" button it used to be. And while some of that certainly has to do with BJJ going soft as you put it, some of it is the natural evolution of the fight.
So now for the "fight evolution" part of my essay.
I am sure any of you who have watched Kung Fu movies know about the "rival school" concept and how martial arts schools used to be very secretive. While it makes for good storytelling it's also 100% true and has a very practical purpose.
Someone pointed out that wrestlers did dominate as soon as Royce left. I would also go so far as to say that if Royce had stayed his dominance would of gone right with it. Royce never fought Dan Severyn again. And I have every confidence that if he did, Dan would of defeated him. When the superfight wth Ken Shamrock happened you could watch as they didn't know what to do when the fight went on and on. Eventually you can watch them manufacture out of thin air the rules for a "draw". The fight ended with Ken not having a mark on him, and Royce's face looking pretty beat up. In modern MMA rules, Royce would of lost that fight. If it had been allowed to continue he would of as well.
Submissions work brilliantly on people who have no idea what you are doing. The Gracies started selling DVD sets and opening schools, it was only a matter of time before life long grapplers were going to be able to fend off submissions. The learning curve for submission defense for someone who has been wrestling their whole lives is really easy.
To further elaborate on this, watch Kazushi Sakuraba, a Catch Wrestler (wrestling with submissions that already existed in wrestling that were not being used anymore) dominate and defeat every Gracie they put in front of him.
Then watch Matt Hughes defeat Royce, in a very one sided battle.
BJJ is important. Submissions and submission defense will always be important. But it is not the foundation of MMA anymore. You cannot rely on submissions working against wrestlers who are by their nature far stronger then you, have 1000s of hours of mat time, are not wearing a Gi, and are covered in sweat. You also cannot rely on attacking a striker with takedowns to escape their boxing and Thai anymore for that matter. The secrets of the "rival school" are out. So now submissions are back to being another tool on the wall of the arsenal of the complete fighter. Whereas wrestling is becoming the pillars that hold up the foundation. Not just from technique but from a conditioning standard second to none. And as Combat Submission Wrestling and Catch Wrestling are now coming back into use, this trend will only continue.
My kids are one of the main reasons I looked into this as they both claim they want to be MMA fighters when they grow up. My daughter in particular won't shut up about it. So we started with wrestling because Wrestling first of all is generally a lot cheaper to get involved in. There is usually one up-front fee to get your kids involved in wrestling every season and for that fee that get two sessions a week (on average) and can go to a tournament every single week during the season that stretches from December to March for Folkstyle, and April through June for Freestyle/Greco Roman. LOTS of mat time. Compare the say 100 bucks for six months of wrestling to the 100 bucks (or more) for BJJ PER MONTH in many instances and you get the point here.
Then comes quality and duration of training. BJJ and Judo classes usually go about 1 hour. (For kids, and you find that champions tended to start very young) Wrestling sessions can go as long as three. Ronda Rousey's mother has a great blog talking about how Judo players should train like Wrestlers because wrestling practices are VERY tough. When my daughter started wrestling last December she could barely do 20 sit ups. She wrestled from then until now and is still wrestling. During a break we decided to see how many sit ups she could do. She got to 130 and asked if she could stop because it was boring. Her conditioning is vastly improved.
Intensity is also a serious issue. My kids also do Judo and BJJ in a club that does both, though we stopped going for a while as the days for practice fell on the same days as Wrestling. So during a break in Wrestling my daughter went back to Judo and rolled with a girl who used to tap her out easily. When the two went at it after seven months or so of wrestling however my daughter dominated aggressively on the ground and then took her back and tapped her out easily. (Now, results will vary with this sort of thing obviously.) But the comparison in her ground game pre-wrestling to now was like night and day. The girl she tapped out regularly medals in Judo.
On the youth level, the intensity in training in most schools for kids doing BJJ and Judo falls far behind what kids do in wrestling so far as conditioning and aggressive pace. The core strength they develop is enormous. The amount of mat time they get is generally way higher. And they live in a no-gi environment.
Eddie talks about a lot of this in his book in the starting chapters. The stuff he says resonated with me right away as it fit with everything I had already observed. He discusses the impact the Gi has on training and why a lot of BJJ guys are not getting submissions like they used to.
Point of fact, there are now a lot of successful MMA fighters who beat BJJ black belts with only passable BJJ. Having a BJJ Black Belt is just not the "I-win" button it used to be. And while some of that certainly has to do with BJJ going soft as you put it, some of it is the natural evolution of the fight.
So now for the "fight evolution" part of my essay.
I am sure any of you who have watched Kung Fu movies know about the "rival school" concept and how martial arts schools used to be very secretive. While it makes for good storytelling it's also 100% true and has a very practical purpose.
Someone pointed out that wrestlers did dominate as soon as Royce left. I would also go so far as to say that if Royce had stayed his dominance would of gone right with it. Royce never fought Dan Severyn again. And I have every confidence that if he did, Dan would of defeated him. When the superfight wth Ken Shamrock happened you could watch as they didn't know what to do when the fight went on and on. Eventually you can watch them manufacture out of thin air the rules for a "draw". The fight ended with Ken not having a mark on him, and Royce's face looking pretty beat up. In modern MMA rules, Royce would of lost that fight. If it had been allowed to continue he would of as well.
Submissions work brilliantly on people who have no idea what you are doing. The Gracies started selling DVD sets and opening schools, it was only a matter of time before life long grapplers were going to be able to fend off submissions. The learning curve for submission defense for someone who has been wrestling their whole lives is really easy.
To further elaborate on this, watch Kazushi Sakuraba, a Catch Wrestler (wrestling with submissions that already existed in wrestling that were not being used anymore) dominate and defeat every Gracie they put in front of him.
Then watch Matt Hughes defeat Royce, in a very one sided battle.
BJJ is important. Submissions and submission defense will always be important. But it is not the foundation of MMA anymore. You cannot rely on submissions working against wrestlers who are by their nature far stronger then you, have 1000s of hours of mat time, are not wearing a Gi, and are covered in sweat. You also cannot rely on attacking a striker with takedowns to escape their boxing and Thai anymore for that matter. The secrets of the "rival school" are out. So now submissions are back to being another tool on the wall of the arsenal of the complete fighter. Whereas wrestling is becoming the pillars that hold up the foundation. Not just from technique but from a conditioning standard second to none. And as Combat Submission Wrestling and Catch Wrestling are now coming back into use, this trend will only continue.