Shogun is going off right now at +155. I never bet, even though I consistently pick the odds that have the best value, but I already put money down, and if it goes up even more, I'm putting more. Whether or not you think Jones will win, he is not over 3:2.
I think Jones is amazing. He should hold the title in a few years. But Shogun has been honing his game for years. He has adjusted to the octagon, and he no longer is the charging brawler he once was. He uses great game plans (as in both Machida fights, where he clearly knew what to expect and trained accordingly), and has experience in more situations, including titles, long matches, and different opponents. There are reports of him breaking the steel frames for heavy bags with his kicks at Chute Boxe. Shogun is legit on the ground - though he is admittedly no grappling champion - and his Muay Thai is on a way higher level than anyone gives him credit. Search online for the video of him sparring with Junior Dos Santos. Rua is one of those guys that see strikes and openings way ahead of time, like Anderson Silva. I say Shogun by 3rd Round TKO. Jones will be the champion someday whether I am right or wrong.
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